this is kind of hard to be conclusive with for a scumteam because theres just SO MANY MISSING PIECES and interactions, thanks idling cucks, but i'll posit likeliest pools:
shot 1
dbw - shot: town
likely 2/3, next shots:
winter-delta
moodycloud
fort colorcastle
good candidate to be shot at this point in time regardless:
ag
if it's moody who's mafia within these 4 (plus i am p sure 1+ other will be) i think you skip shooting dle and move on to this pool, which he is also in:
idling experienced:
twin
jalmont - shot: town
unclesam
blazade
dle
next likely in descending order:
asek
josh
former hope/hitmonleet
if the above has all gone totally wrong i think josh-hitmonleet/flyhn scumteam should be heavily considered instead of shooting at asek or fh.
i would only shoot him atm if twin and josh flipped mafia, and if twin does he shoots up in priority to grill:
flyhn
already shot, known town:
empoof
new:
dbw
jalmont
only a buffoon would shoot:
me
i really wish the gunbearers would stop blowing their loads without discussing more with town or explaining WHY they are shooting like this. yes we get that dbw suspected jalmont of being mafia but i wish we had more to go on of why and what dbw would've thought if jalmont flipped town. the dude was wrong as we now know but his reads could've been relevant in some way or another IE we see where his faulty logic led to a bad scumread and can apply that to other reads of his or whatever.
in light of these flips:
priority shots:
winter-delta
aura guardian
moody cloud
fort colorcastle
in that order. i think 1 of these is town, probably moody or fort, i lean fort because i like his contributions so far a bit better. when he makes any KEK. which isn't to say i like his contributions at all, just i find moody's more likely scum. winter-delta is a strong candidate for scum and dbw and jalmont both flipping town means ag's odds of being scum just went way up. the fact he voted me when jalmont asked this cycle after several misshots is just suspicious af. also ag made an ISO of moody (#827) in which he concludes moody is a "don't shoot." the iso contains a few points of moody being anti-sam which seems to be moody's biggest relationship. i think an ag-moody-sam scum triad is pretty likely when you consider this. ag townreads buddy!moody who scumreads buddy!sam who leaves buddy!ag out of his "obvious shots" list but does say he has been 'active'.
shooting winter-delta doesn't inform a whole lot of other people but has pretty good odds of hitting idlingtown imo.
shooting ag informs whether moody and sam are more likely to be scum or town. if ag flips scum which i think is very likely at this point, moody and sam should without a doubt be the next shots.
shooting fort is also not as informative as the above 3 but if all 3 of the above are mafia, numerically fort is probably town. if 1 of the above 3 isn't, fort needs to remain in the priority list.
idling experienced:
unclesam
blazade
twin
i remove dle from this list because dbw was not scum. i think this weakens the case dle is mafia but obviously his lack of contributions besides drive-by hot takes makes it otherwise difficult to say. jalmont is removed as he was shot and is town. again in this order. these sam posts are just... bad. he doesn't care about this game but was pissed enough to want to sub out? come on sam haven't we been over this? your tantrums games don't go your way are so tired. nobody cares if you want the host to sub you out of this farce because it's not designed exactly how you think it should be. i think it's very likely sam is scum who feels too disadvantaged by having 20 people on the playerlist to care. i also think he's probably being bussed by his teammates at this point. this spotlights ag who wants to push me as the shot today over sam, as if he's trying to stand apart from the other mafia he knows are bussing sam. these 2 are really good shot candidates imo.
blazade's RNG post is real bad. there is no reason to RNG at this point in the game, certainly not after several cycles of shots and posts and information. lazy scum would say that but town trying to solve the game? nah never.
twin i find more suspicious than josh or asek rn but he's sort of forced to the bottom of this group by the fact the others in it and above it are so much more likely to be scum.
need more info if above goes awry:
asek
josh
former hope
dle
hitmonleet
flyhn
this pool only has a good chance of containing 2+ mafia if the above idling cucks are predominantly town which would just blow. me. away.
my most likely scumteam:
winter delta
aura guardian
moody cloud
unclesam
blazade
and 1 in the last pool if it's not twin. i need more information to put an accurate read out on these guys based on flips and posts. flyhn is obviously at the bottom of it. figuring out who is bussing who will be crucial to this slot. need more scumflips pls.