Gravity Monkey
ausma
Yokaiju
Scepticskep
Chillie
Felis Licht
StephXPM
ausma
Yokaiju
Scepticskep
Chillie
Felis Licht
StephXPM
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CAP 34 - Art Poll 2
- Thread starter DougJustDoug
- Start date
- Status
Scepticskep
Felis Licht
ausma
Chillie
Gravity Monkey
StephXPM
Yokaiju
Felis Licht
ausma
Chillie
Gravity Monkey
StephXPM
Yokaiju
Gravity Monkey
Felis Licht
Yokaiju
StephXPM
Felis Licht
Yokaiju
StephXPM
ausma
Chillie
Chillie
The poll results were very clear on the top 2 finishers, but positions 3-7 were very unclear and fluctuate wildly depending on how the poll was counted. See the results and explanation in HIDE tags below.
So...
Chillie and StephXPM are moving on to a final Head-To-Head poll to decide the winner!
So...
Chillie and StephXPM are moving on to a final Head-To-Head poll to decide the winner!
To clearly show the ambiguity after 1st and 2nd place, see this Condorcet count of the poll, where places 3 thru 6 are tied:
The normal counting method we use for CAP ranked ballots is Ranked Pairs, so here is the "official" count of the poll, if you want to argue what were the "official" finishing positions for 3rd thru 7th. But you can see that ausma, Yokaiju, Gravity Monkey, and Felis Licht were wrapped up in cycles and ties, so it's debatable as to who of those four that truly finished in which position in this poll
Here is a Borda Count of the poll, which is useful for assigning a number to see in numerical form how "good" each option performed in the poll. For positions 3-6, they were flipping around wildly with almost literally every ballot that was cast over the last hour or two of the poll, because the numerical margins were so razor thin.
Here is the PBV count, which is the polling method we used for several years in the CAP project for decided finishing positions of ranked ballots.
Lastly, here is the count of the poll if we counted each ballot's top option, which is how we used to do it WAYYYY back in the first days of CAP with single choice polls.
So, all of this is to show that the only thing that was clear in this poll was that Chillie and StephXPM are the top two. So a final HTH poll will definitely choose a winner without any ambiguity or doubt! Good luck!
Code:
CAP 34 - Art Poll 2
# CONDORCET METHOD #
Ballots: 134
Preferences: 665
[Pair#01] Chillie (77—42) Felis Licht
[Pair#02] Chillie (75—42) Yokaiju
[Pair#03] Chillie (74—40) Scepticskep
[Pair#04] Chillie (72—49) ausma
[Pair#05] Chillie (71—50) StephXPM
[Pair#06] Chillie (70—44) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#07] StephXPM (69—42) Scepticskep
[Pair#08] StephXPM (69—43) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#09] StephXPM (67—46) Yokaiju
[Pair#10] StephXPM (66—55) ausma
[Pair#11] StephXPM (64—53) Felis Licht
[Pair#12] ausma (61—55) Yokaiju
[Pair#13] ausma (59—55) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#14] ausma (56—51) Scepticskep
[Pair#15] ausma (54—54) Felis Licht
[Pair#16] Felis Licht (58—47) Scepticskep
[Pair#17] Felis Licht (57—52) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#18] Gravity Monkey (57—56) Yokaiju
[Pair#19] Gravity Monkey (53—49) Scepticskep
[Pair#20] Yokaiju (61—49) Scepticskep
[Pair#21] Yokaiju (60—51) Felis Licht
——————————————————————————————————————————————
RUNDOWN
——————————————————————————————————————————————
1. Chillie
2. StephXPM
3. ausma, Felis Licht, Gravity Monkey, Yokaiju
:
:
:
7. ScepticskepThe normal counting method we use for CAP ranked ballots is Ranked Pairs, so here is the "official" count of the poll, if you want to argue what were the "official" finishing positions for 3rd thru 7th. But you can see that ausma, Yokaiju, Gravity Monkey, and Felis Licht were wrapped up in cycles and ties, so it's debatable as to who of those four that truly finished in which position in this poll
Code:
CAP 34 - Art Poll 2
# RANKED PAIRS #
Ballots: 134
Preferences: 665
Defeat by: Winning votes
Tiebreaker: Borda Count
[Pair#01] Chillie (77—42) Felis Licht
[Pair#02] Chillie (75—42) Yokaiju
[Pair#03] Chillie (74—40) Scepticskep
[Pair#04] Chillie (72—49) ausma
[Pair#05] Chillie (71—50) StephXPM
[Pair#06] Chillie (70—44) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#07] StephXPM (69—42) Scepticskep
[Pair#08] StephXPM (69—43) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#09] StephXPM (67—46) Yokaiju
[Pair#10] StephXPM (66—55) ausma
[Pair#11] StephXPM (64—53) Felis Licht
[Pair#12] Yokaiju (61—49) Scepticskep
[Pair#13] ausma (61—55) Yokaiju
[Pair#14] Yokaiju (60—51) Felis Licht
[Pair#15] ausma (59—55) Gravity Monkey
[Pair#16] Felis Licht (58—47) Scepticskep
[Pair#17] Felis Licht (57—52) Gravity Monkey ——> CANCELLED (joint cycle)
[Pair#18] Gravity Monkey (57—56) Yokaiju ——> CANCELLED (joint cycle)
[Pair#19] ausma (56—51) Scepticskep
[Pair#20] ausma (54—54) Felis Licht ——> CANCELLED (tie)
[Pair#21] Gravity Monkey (53—49) Scepticskep
Chillie > [GravityMonkey][StephXPM][ausma][Scepticskep][Yokaiju][FelisLicht]
StephXPM > [FelisLicht][ausma][Yokaiju][GravityMonkey][Scepticskep]
ausma > [Scepticskep][GravityMonkey][Yokaiju]
Gravity Monkey > [Scepticskep]
Yokaiju > [FelisLicht][Scepticskep]
Felis Licht > [Scepticskep]
Scepticskep > []
[Tiebreak#1] Yokaiju=320 > GravityMonkey=304
—————————————————
RUNDOWN
—————————————————
1. Chillie
2. StephXPM
3. ausma
4. Yokaiju
5. Gravity Monkey
6. Felis Licht
7. ScepticskepHere is a Borda Count of the poll, which is useful for assigning a number to see in numerical form how "good" each option performed in the poll. For positions 3-6, they were flipping around wildly with almost literally every ballot that was cast over the last hour or two of the poll, because the numerical margins were so razor thin.
Code:
CAP 34 - Art Poll 2
# BORDA COUNT #
Ballots: 134
Preferences: 665
Scoring: 0 to 1
Borda variant: Conventional
——————————————————————————
RUNDOWN
——————————————————————————
1. Chillie (73.167)
2. StephXPM (64.167)
3. ausma (55.667)
4. Yokaiju (53.333)
5. Felis Licht (52.5)
6. Gravity Monkey (50.667)
7. Scepticskep (46.333)Here is the PBV count, which is the polling method we used for several years in the CAP project for decided finishing positions of ranked ballots.
Code:
CAP 34 - Art Poll 2
# PREFERENTIAL BLOCK VOTING #
Ballots: 134
Preferences: 665
[Round 1.0] Chillie=29 > StephXPM=28 > GravityMonkey=21 > ausma=20 > FelisLicht=16 > Scepticskep=12 > Yokaiju=8
[Round 1.1] Chillie=32 > StephXPM=29 > ausma=21 ~ GravityMonkey=21 > FelisLicht=19 > Scepticskep=12
[Round 1.2] Chillie=35 > StephXPM=32 > ausma=23 ~ GravityMonkey=23 > FelisLicht=21
[Round 1.3] Chillie=40 > ausma=34 ~ StephXPM=34 > GravityMonkey=23
[Round 1.4] Chillie=48 > StephXPM=43 > ausma=38
[Round 1.5] Chillie=71 > StephXPM=50
[Round 1.6] Chillie=101 ——> #1
[Round 2.0] StephXPM=37 > ausma=26 > GravityMonkey=23 > FelisLicht=20 > Scepticskep=15 > Yokaiju=12
[Round 2.1] StephXPM=42 > ausma=27 > GravityMonkey=25 > FelisLicht=23 > Scepticskep=15
[Round 2.2] StephXPM=47 > ausma=29 ~ FelisLicht=29 > GravityMonkey=27
[Round 2.3] StephXPM=58 > FelisLicht=36 > ausma=34
[Round 2.4] StephXPM=64 > FelisLicht=53
[Round 2.5] StephXPM=92 ——> #2
[Round 3.0] GravityMonkey=33 > ausma=30 > FelisLicht=23 > Scepticskep=22 > Yokaiju=21
[Round 3.1] GravityMonkey=37 > ausma=34 > FelisLicht=28 > Scepticskep=23
[Round 3.2] GravityMonkey=42 > ausma=41 > FelisLicht=36
[Round 3.3] ausma=59 > GravityMonkey=55
[Round 3.4] ausma=81 ——> #3
[Round 4.0] GravityMonkey=36 > FelisLicht=32 > Yokaiju=31 > Scepticskep=27
[Round 4.1] GravityMonkey=43 > FelisLicht=40 > Yokaiju=39
[Round 4.2] FelisLicht=57 > GravityMonkey=52
[Round 4.3] FelisLicht=85 ——> #4
[Round 5.0] GravityMonkey=42 > Yokaiju=40 > Scepticskep=37
[Round 5.1] GravityMonkey=57 > Yokaiju=56
[Round 5.2] GravityMonkey=77 ——> #5
[Round 6.0] Yokaiju=61 > Scepticskep=49
[Round 6.1] Yokaiju=91 ——> #6
[Round 7.0] Scepticskep=78 ——> #7
—————————————————
RUNDOWN
—————————————————
1. Chillie
2. StephXPM
3. ausma
4. Felis Licht
5. Gravity Monkey
6. Yokaiju
7. ScepticskepLastly, here is the count of the poll if we counted each ballot's top option, which is how we used to do it WAYYYY back in the first days of CAP with single choice polls.
Code:
CAP 34 - Art Poll 2
# FIRST-PAST-THE-POST VOTING #
Ballots: 134
——————————————————————
RUNDOWN
——————————————————————
1. Chillie (29)
2. StephXPM (28)
3. Gravity Monkey (21)
4. ausma (20)
5. Felis Licht (16)
6. Scepticskep (12)
7. Yokaiju (8)So, all of this is to show that the only thing that was clear in this poll was that Chillie and StephXPM are the top two. So a final HTH poll will definitely choose a winner without any ambiguity or doubt! Good luck!
- Status